Jerry Bowyer

Recent Posts

New Data: 45 States Growing, Michigan Booming, New York Still Shrinking

Posted by Jerry Bowyer on 9/8/20 9:00 AM

We just got the second estimate for second quarter GDP and as I pointed out in a previous piece, that data tells us nothing about the past two months. It is data with a long gap between the time period and the report about the time period.

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Topics: Economics

Last Week’s Terrible and Stale GDP Report

Posted by Jerry Bowyer on 9/3/20 9:00 AM

One of the problems with financial reporting is that even though it's called 'news' the reports are often quite old. For example, the first estimate of GDP growth isn't released until a month after the end of the period. So for example, the second quarter starts in April, ends in June, but doesn't get reported until early July -- and that July report isn't actually a report of GDP, it's the first of two estimates of what the actual report will be (which will be released almost two months later). This year it will be September 30th before we get the actual GDP number.

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Topics: Economics

Recent Durable Goods Report Brought to You by the Number 230 Billion and by the Letter V

Posted by Jerry Bowyer on 9/1/20 9:26 AM

As of this writing (8/26/2020), we have what’s called the Monthly Advance report on Durable Goods Manufacturers’ Shipments, Inventories and Orders for the month of July. This is an important indicator and the new number is indicating something important -- a rapid recovery in the manufacturing sector.

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Topics: Economics

Home Sales: Best Ever But Still Not Good?

Posted by Jerry Bowyer on 8/18/20 9:00 AM

The National Association of Realtors just announced the largest ever increase in existing home sales. 

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Topics: REITs

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