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Jerry Bowyer

Recent Posts

What This New Economic CAT Scan Shows About This Recession

Posted by Jerry Bowyer on 10/13/20 9:00 AM

In our previous article, I explained how a new statistic, Gross Output (GO) uses free-market insights to get a deeper look into the economy than Keynesian statistics such as GDP and GNP.

Now that we know it's a better 'scan' of the economy, let's use it to take a look at the patient right now to see his current economic health.

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Topics: Economics

Happy GO-Day: Last Week's Economic CAT Scan Shows Resiliency

Posted by Jerry Bowyer on 10/9/20 12:30 PM

Last Wednesday was a milestone for data nerds like me, and for general economic understanding. For the first time, the government released something called 'Gross Output' (GO) along with its official GDP numbers.

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Topics: Economics

Stock, Bond, Commodity Markets All Signaling Recovery, Part 2

Posted by Jerry Bowyer on 9/24/20 9:00 AM

Let's take a look at one kind of bond compared to another. Instead of the difference between the earnings of stocks and the interest rate (the way bond investors get paid) of treasury bonds, let's take a look at the difference between corporate bonds and treasuries.

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Topics: Economics, Commodities, Bonds

Stock, Bond, Commodity Markets All Signaling Recovery, Part 1

Posted by Jerry Bowyer on 9/22/20 9:00 AM

Markets are future-oriented. That is to say that investors make buying decisions in light of expectations. One buys if one expects the investment to go up in value in the future. One sells if one expects the opposite. We've found two market indicators that are particularly good at capturing expectations of U.S. growth and one which is particularly good at forecasting global growth.

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Topics: Economics, Commodities, Bonds

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